UK Housing Market Forecast for 2025-2026
Introduction
The UK housing market continues to face significant challenges in 2025. This analysis examines current trends and provides a forecast for the next 12 months.
Current Market Conditions
Housing prices have increased by 6.8% year-over-year, with the average home now costing £295,000 nationwide. London prices have seen an even steeper climb at 8.3%.
Supply and Demand Gap
New housing starts have improved to 205,000 annually, but still fall short of the estimated 250,000 units needed to meet demand.
Interest Rate Impact
With Bank of England rates at 4.25%, mortgage affordability remains a significant hurdle for first-time buyers.
Regional Disparities
While London and the South East face the most severe affordability challenges, regional cities like Manchester and Birmingham are now seeing similar pressures.
Forecast
We predict continued price growth of 4-6% over the next 12 months, with potential moderation if supply improvements can be maintained.